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2024-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 7.3% 92.7% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 9.5% 90.5% +12.4 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 40.5% 59.5% -
Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.6% 73.4% -
Log Adjusted 26.6% 73.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +30 (96-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Barnhizer * 37 3-12 1-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 9 0 -
T. Berry * 31 6-10 2-4 0-0 4 0 2 0 1 14 9 -
B. Buie * 27 6-14 2-4 6-6 0 0 0 0 4 20 2 -
R. Langborg * 23 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 2 2 -
M. Nicholson * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
N. Martinelli 29 3-6 1-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
L. Hunger 19 4-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 7 -
J. Clayton 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Preston 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Mullins 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
G. Hurlburt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Guerrier * 35 6-9 1-2 1-3 10 0 0 1 0 14 16 -
M. Domask * 35 11-15 1-1 9-10 5 6 0 1 3 32 26 -
C. Hawkins * 35 5-9 2-5 1-2 5 2 1 2 2 13 12 -
L. Goode * 32 2-5 1-4 1-1 5 1 1 0 1 6 7 -
Ty Rodgers * 19 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 6 7 -
J. Harmon 29 7-11 4-5 2-2 2 2 0 1 1 20 13 -
D. Gibbs-Lawhorn 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
D. Dainja 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
A. Hansberry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
AJ Redd 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Williams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter