Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.5% | 79.5% | +7.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Matthews * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| T. Smith * | 27 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 20 | - |
| D.J. Jeffries * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| S. Moore * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Davis * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Hubbard | 19 | 1-11 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| T. Fort | 18 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Bell Jr. | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Scott | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Reeves * | 31 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| T. Mitchell * | 28 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D.J. Wagner * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Bradshaw * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Edwards * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Sheppard | 30 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. Dillingham | 27 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
* = starter