Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.2% | 7.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -19 (76-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mitchell * | 30 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| A. Reeves * | 30 | 10-16 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 18 | - |
| J. Edwards * | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| A. Bradshaw * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Wagner * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| R. Sheppard | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| R. Dillingham | 21 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| A. Thiero | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| U. Onyenso | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Burks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Canada | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Horn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Darbyshire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Watkins | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Clark * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 6-11 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| M. James * | 34 | 2-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Huntley-Hatfield * | 34 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| T. White * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Johnson * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Williams | 22 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Glenn | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Jovanovich | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Okorafor | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. McCool | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Miller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Z. Payne | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter