🐻⬇️🏀

Southern Utah Thunderbirds 74
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 76
2023-12-16

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Margin 47.3% 52.7% +0.6 ✓ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 85.8% 14.2% - ✗
Efficiency 65.5% 34.5% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 92.7% 7.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 92.7% 7.3% - ✗

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Fallah * 36 7-15 0-1 1-2 12 3 1 2 2 15 16 -
D. Ford * 36 6-15 4-10 3-3 4 5 0 0 3 19 10 -
Z. Young * 35 4-13 1-9 3-3 2 0 1 1 0 12 3 -
B. Housley * 34 4-7 2-4 1-2 3 3 1 1 2 11 10 -
P. Johnson * 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 2 4 -
J. Sibley 23 7-12 0-2 1-2 7 2 3 0 1 15 14 -
C. Hutchison 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Jeter IV 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
N. Dyachok 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Lloyd * 37 7-9 2-2 0-1 3 5 1 0 1 16 15 -
O. Fort * 35 3-11 1-4 0-2 3 5 0 1 3 7 2 -
J. Jackson * 35 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 4 2 1 2 8 14 -
T. McLaughlin * 31 7-16 3-8 2-6 3 4 0 0 2 19 8 -
D. Campisano * 24 2-5 1-2 2-2 5 1 1 1 1 7 9 -
C. Basham 26 8-11 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 3 0 16 15 -
C.J. Ford 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 4 -
R. Abelman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter