Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +38 (92-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neskovic * | 30 | 11-19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 5 | - |
| J. Munro * | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Mitchell-Day * | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Williams * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Cornish * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Johnson | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| R. McRae III | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Dimitrijevic | 12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Myrthil | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Christensen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| I. Robinson | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Haskins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Abusara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Tivnan Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Roach * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Filipowski * | 27 | 10-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 21 | - |
| T. Proctor * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| R. Young * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. McCain * | 15 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Foster | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| J. Blakes | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| C. Reeves | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Stewart | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| TJ Power | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Hubbard | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Begovich | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter