Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hawkins * | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 10-13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| R. Melendez * | 26 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Mayer * | 22 | 0-6 | 0-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| L. Goode | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| S. Harris | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Epps | 6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Council IV * | 39 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 11-12 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 19 | - |
| A. Black * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Davis * | 30 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith Jr. * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -5 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Walsh | 27 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Graham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter