Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (23.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +25 (98-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Coleman * | 36 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 32 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| W. Baker * | 27 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | - |
| H. McIntosh | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N. Davidson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Pettigrew | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Powell | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Flannigan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Des. Cambridge Jr. * | 30 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| W. Washington * | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| DJ Horne * | 27 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge * | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| F. Collins * | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Neal | 27 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 3-7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. Gaffney | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Muhammad | 20 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Brennan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Olmsted | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Burno | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hurley | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Boakye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter