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2023-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 12.2% 87.8% -
Bradley-Terry 15.6% 84.4% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.7 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.6% 95.4% -
Log Adjusted 4.4% 95.6% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +11 (72-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hodge * 35 7-11 3-6 4-4 9 2 2 0 0 21 23 -
Ko. Brown * 32 3-9 0-2 0-0 7 2 2 1 2 6 7 -
N. Honor * 31 1-10 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 -4 -
M. Diarra * 14 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 4 -1 -
N. Carter 31 4-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 10 4 -
S. East II 20 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -
A. Shaw 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller * 31 8-11 3-6 1-1 12 4 1 1 4 20 23 -
J. Quinerly * 31 0-9 0-4 1-2 3 7 0 0 1 1 1 -
M. Sears * 30 2-10 1-9 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 9 2 -
N. Clowney * 30 7-11 3-6 2-3 3 0 0 1 0 19 12 -
C. Bediako * 17 5-5 0-0 0-1 5 1 1 1 0 10 13 -
N. Gurley 20 2-2 1-1 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 5 7 -
J. Bradley 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
R. Griffen 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 0 3 -
N. Pringle 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
N. Burnett 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
D. Welch 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter