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UNLV Rebels 76
@
Boise State Broncos 87
2023-03-09

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 26.6% 73.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% - ✓
Margin 23.3% 76.7% +6.6 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% - ✓
Efficiency 28.5% 71.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 30.4% 69.6% - ✓

Actual: Boise State Broncos +11 (87-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Webster * 42 6-12 5-10 1-2 4 3 1 0 2 18 12 -
EJ Harkless * 38 7-18 2-7 2-2 6 7 2 0 6 18 9 -
J. McCabe * 31 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 1 1 10 8 -
D. Muoka * 31 1-7 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 3 1 2 5 -
S. Nowell * 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 8 9 -
L. Rodriguez 27 2-4 2-3 1-2 4 1 1 1 1 7 9 -
V. Iwuakor 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
K. Gilbert 10 3-5 1-2 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
J. Johnson III 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Hall 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Agbo * 42 6-10 3-5 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 16 14 -
T. Degenhart * 41 7-16 2-5 0-2 8 1 0 1 1 16 9 -
M. Rice * 39 3-9 3-8 3-3 1 4 0 0 3 12 5 -
N. Smith * 39 5-8 2-4 6-7 6 2 0 0 2 18 16 -
M. Shaver Jr. * 34 6-9 3-5 2-5 8 5 2 1 1 17 23 -
J. Whiting 18 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
L. Milner 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
P. Kuzmanovic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter