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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (26.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -26 (51-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. DeVries * 32 8-14 3-6 3-4 6 0 1 0 1 22 14 -
R. Penn * 31 3-12 0-0 3-4 4 6 1 0 2 9 6 -
D. Brodie * 26 4-5 1-1 3-6 9 1 0 2 0 12 19 -
D.J. Wilkins * 25 2-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
G. Sturtz * 17 5-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 12 8 -
S. Calhoun 27 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 1 0 8 11 -
C. Enright 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
N. Ferguson 14 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
O. Djamgouz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
B. Burns 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Northweather 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Player #4897449 * 32 3-10 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 8 0 -
R. Mast * 29 3-6 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 6 4 -
D. Deen * 28 3-11 1-5 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 9 3 -
C. Hickman * 27 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 1 -
Z. Montgomery * 21 2-4 2-3 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Henry 20 4-8 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
C. Davis 16 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 2 -
D. Hannah 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Weathers 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Agiste 3 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Hardtke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hennessy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Biliew 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Linke 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter