Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Holmes II * | 40 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 9-12 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 32 | - |
| M. Amzil * | 38 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| M. Smith * | 36 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| K. Brea * | 28 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Camara * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Blakney | 27 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| M. Sharavjamts | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Z. Nwokeji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Baldwin Jr. * | 40 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 6-10 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| J. DeLoach * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| J. Nunn * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Johns Jr. * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Kern Jr. * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Watkins | 28 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D. Shriver | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Z. Jackson | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Lawal | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter