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2023-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 33.5% 66.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.1% 47.9% -
Margin 56.6% 43.4% -1.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 69.4% 30.6% -
Efficiency 85.8% 14.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.0% 13.0% -
Log Adjusted 87.0% 13.0% -

Actual: SMU Mustangs -2 (52-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Nolley II * 34 7-15 2-6 0-0 12 3 1 1 5 16 13 -
M. Adams-Woods * 34 6-9 4-7 0-1 1 1 4 1 2 16 12 -
D. DeJulius * 30 1-8 1-5 1-1 2 5 0 0 2 4 1 -
V. Lakhin * 27 3-9 0-0 0-2 10 0 1 8 3 6 13 -
O. Oguama * 20 2-9 0-0 1-1 10 1 0 0 3 5 4 -
J. Davenport 30 1-8 0-5 0-0 9 3 0 0 2 2 4 -
D. Skillings Jr. 12 2-7 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 5 1 -
J. Reed 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Ezikpe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Nutall * 35 5-17 2-8 1-2 2 2 3 0 0 13 3 -
S. Williamson * 32 4-9 0-0 0-0 13 3 2 3 1 8 19 -
Z. Phelps * 27 5-18 0-3 1-2 1 2 5 1 2 11 0 -
E. Odigie * 26 5-12 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 10 3 -
J. Smith * 26 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 3 4 -
S. Todorovic 25 1-5 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 3 4 -
K. Ambrose-Hylton 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 2 7 -
J. Koulibaly 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 1 0 0 3 -
R. Wright 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Lanier 2 0-0 0-0 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
F. Agunanne 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter