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2023-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 20.0% 80.0% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Penn * 34 6-14 0-2 0-1 6 5 4 0 3 12 10 -
T. DeVries * 32 3-13 1-8 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 11 3 -
G. Sturtz * 32 3-8 0-1 4-5 2 2 3 0 0 10 9 -
D.J. Wilkins * 32 5-10 4-7 0-0 5 2 2 0 1 14 12 -
D. Brodie * 23 6-11 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 2 12 5 -
C. Enright 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Ferguson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -1 -
S. Calhoun 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Burns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Djamgouz 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hickman * 33 7-11 4-5 1-3 3 3 1 0 1 19 14 -
Player #4897449 * 33 3-3 2-2 4-4 3 0 3 0 0 12 15 -
R. Mast * 31 5-7 0-1 2-3 13 3 0 0 3 12 18 -
D. Deen * 26 2-7 1-4 3-4 2 2 0 1 3 8 3 -
Z. Montgomery * 19 3-8 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 2 1 6 4 -
V. Tahvanainen 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 5 -
J. Henry 19 3-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 6 7 -
D. Hannah 10 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 0 4 6 4 -
C. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Hennessy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Biliew 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hardtke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Weathers 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter