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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% -
Margin 12.8% 87.2% +10.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 30.4% 69.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +19 (76-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hickman 30 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 6 0 -
D. Deen 29 4-9 2-5 1-2 4 4 2 0 3 11 9 -
R. Mast 27 5-9 0-2 7-9 6 0 1 0 6 17 9 -
J. Henry 25 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
Z. Montgomery 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 4 0 -
M. Leons 23 2-4 0-1 7-8 8 0 4 1 4 11 16 -
D. Hannah 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 2 2 3 -
V. Tahvanainen 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Weathers 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
C. Davis 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Black 38 4-7 0-1 7-11 3 4 2 2 2 15 17 -
R. Council IV 37 4-10 1-3 7-8 2 2 2 0 2 16 10 -
D. Davis 30 3-9 1-2 0-0 7 3 5 0 1 7 12 -
J. Walsh 28 7-7 1-1 3-4 3 1 4 0 0 18 19 -
N. Smith Jr. 20 1-8 1-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 5 -3 -
M. Mitchell 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 1 2 6 7 -
K. Johnson 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Graham 11 2-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 1 6 5 -
J. Pinion 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Ford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Dunning Jr. 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
M. Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Blake 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Arbogast 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter