Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.5% | 40.5% | -2.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clark * | 36 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| B. Vander Plas * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 33 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| I. McKneely | 20 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| R. Dunn | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| K. Shedrick | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cleveland * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| C. Mills * | 38 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 38 | 3-14 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| J. Warley * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Corhen * | 32 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| C. Jackson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. McLeod | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. House | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter