Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.1% | 92.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (62-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Cleveland * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 33 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| C. Mills * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Fletcher * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. McLeod * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Corhen | 27 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| J. Warley | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. House | 13 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Jackson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Shedrick | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| K. Clark * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Beekman * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Gardner * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Franklin * | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| B. Vander Plas | 27 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| I. McKneely | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Dunn | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| F. Caffaro | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter