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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 39.3% 60.7% -
Efficiency 26.9% 73.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.3% 80.7% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +5 (76-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shannon Jr. * 33 4-7 2-3 3-3 1 2 0 1 6 13 4 -
M. Mayer * 32 5-14 1-10 5-7 6 1 2 0 2 16 9 -
C. Hawkins * 29 2-5 1-3 1-4 4 6 1 2 1 6 13 -
R. Melendez * 28 1-5 0-1 5-6 4 2 2 2 1 7 11 -
D. Dainja * 17 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 1 7 5 -
Ty Rodgers 22 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 0 2 1 4 -
S. Harris 21 5-8 1-3 0-1 5 0 1 0 0 11 9 -
L. Goode 16 4-6 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 10 8 -
B. Lieb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Newman * 34 5-10 3-8 6-8 6 5 3 0 1 19 22 -
B. Smith * 31 6-9 2-2 1-2 1 3 1 0 2 15 9 -
Z. Edey * 27 6-13 0-0 5-7 6 2 0 1 2 17 11 -
F. Loyer * 26 0-4 0-3 4-4 0 3 1 0 1 4 3 -
M. Gillis * 17 2-4 0-2 3-4 3 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
C. Furst 23 1-3 0-1 0-1 6 1 0 1 0 2 7 -
E. Morton 20 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 4 0 2 2 4 -
T. Kaufman-Renn 13 3-4 1-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
D. Jenkins Jr. 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

* = starter