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2023-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% -
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.3% 49.7% -
Efficiency 43.7% 56.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.3% 50.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bufkin * 43 7-16 1-7 4-4 6 4 1 0 4 19 10 -
Je. Howard * 43 5-12 4-10 2-4 4 2 0 0 2 16 8 -
D. McDaniel * 42 3-10 2-4 2-4 2 4 3 0 1 10 8 -
H. Dickinson * 41 10-17 2-4 2-2 14 1 1 5 2 24 26 -
W. Tschetter * 20 0-0 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
T. Reed Jr. 24 1-5 0-0 0-2 9 0 0 1 1 2 6 -
T. Williams II 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Baker 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ja. Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson-Davis * 44 10-21 0-0 7-9 9 6 2 2 3 27 22 -
J. Hood-Schifino * 40 4-9 1-1 4-4 2 2 0 0 2 13 6 -
M. Kopp * 37 2-7 1-5 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 5 7 -
R. Thompson * 35 7-10 1-1 1-6 10 0 4 0 2 16 18 -
T. Galloway * 25 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 4 4 -
T. Bates 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 1 -
M. Reneau 11 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
K. Banks 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter