Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.2% | 89.8% | +11.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Audige * | 38 | 3-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -2 | - |
| T. Berry * | 36 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Buie * | 35 | 12-24 | 6-11 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 35 | 11 | - |
| M. Nicholson * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| R. Beran * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Barnhizer | 32 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Verhoeven | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Martinelli | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mayer * | 32 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Melendez * | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Epps * | 14 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Shannon Jr. | 28 | 8-10 | 4-5 | 6-9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| S. Harris | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| L. Goode | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Lieb | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter