Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.7% | 29.3% | -4.9 | ✗ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +3 (71-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mayer * | 36 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 19 | - |
| J. Epps * | 35 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 29 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| R. Melendez * | 14 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Goode | 23 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| B. Lieb | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Harris | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jackson-Davis * | 37 | 12-19 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 24 | - |
| J. Hood-Schifino * | 37 | 5-17 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | - |
| T. Galloway * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Kopp * | 31 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| R. Thompson * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Reneau | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Bates | 17 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| J. Geronimo | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Banks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter