Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✗ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +2 (81-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Hawkins * | 35 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 6-10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Player #4432847 * | 33 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| D. Dainja * | 30 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Epps * | 30 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Mayer * | 28 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Ty Rodgers | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Melendez | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Harris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Rebraca * | 39 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Player #4594326 * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| T. Perkins * | 35 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 15-16 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 26 | - |
| C. McCaffery * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ulis * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Pa. Sandfort | 21 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| P. McCaffery | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Dix | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Bowen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Mulvey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter