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2022-12-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 13.8% 86.2% -
Bradley-Terry 32.5% 67.5% -
Margin 11.7% 88.3% +11.1 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 18.6% 81.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Log Adjusted 28.5% 71.5% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Miller Kopp * 39 5-9 4-8 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 14 9 -
Trayce Jackson-Davis * 32 4-10 0-0 3-5 5 1 1 2 1 11 9 -
Race Thompson * 28 6-14 4-7 0-0 9 1 1 0 1 16 12 -
Xavier Johnson * 26 3-13 1-4 4-4 2 11 0 0 2 11 9 -
T. Galloway * 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 1 4 7 -
T. Bates 28 6-10 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 13 5 -
M. Reneau 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Geronimo 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
L. Duncomb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Banks 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
CJ Gunn 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pelle Larsson * 35 5-9 0-4 6-6 4 3 0 0 1 16 13 -
K. Kriisa * 33 4-12 4-10 2-3 3 7 0 0 6 14 6 -
O. Ballo * 30 6-9 0-0 3-8 12 2 2 1 0 15 23 -
C. Ramey * 29 2-8 2-6 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
A. Tubelis * 28 9-16 0-0 3-4 7 2 1 3 0 21 18 -
C. Henderson Jr. 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
A. Bal 13 3-4 3-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 9 8 -
H. Veesaar 12 1-1 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 1 0 5 10 -
K. Boswell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter