Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.4% | 84.6% | +9.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +11 (82-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Harkless * | 29 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 11-13 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | - |
| L. Rodriguez * | 27 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Gilbert * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 8 | - |
| V. Iwuakor * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Parquet * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Nowell | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Muoka | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. McCabe | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Webster | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 24 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 22 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Seiko | 25 | 6-11 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 9 | - |
| M. Parrish | 24 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. LeDee | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Arop | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| E. Saunders | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter