Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.7% | 50.3% | +0.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bradley * | 28 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Butler * | 20 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Seiko | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Parrish | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Arop | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. LeDee | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Coleman * | 39 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 38 | 9-14 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| K. Blackshear * | 36 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| W. Baker * | 32 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Davidson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Foster | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Powell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Pettigrew | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter