Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +15 (77-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -2 | - |
| Player #4431765 * | 32 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Player #4431691 * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| N. Davidson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Pettigrew | 12 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | - |
| D. Foster | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Powell | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Degenhart * | 39 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| M. Rice * | 36 | 10-14 | 6-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 20 | - |
| C. Agbo * | 35 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Smith * | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Whiting | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Milner | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Young | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter