Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Blackshear * | 36 | 6-18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Lucas * | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Dar. Williams * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| T. Coleman * | 28 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| W. Baker * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| N. Davidson | 20 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| T. Pettigrew | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Foster | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Butler * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| N. Mensah * | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Trammell * | 28 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Bradley * | 27 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| K. Johnson * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| A. Seiko | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. LeDee | 16 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Parrish | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Arop | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter