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2022-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 65.4% 34.6% -3.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.5% 52.5% -
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.9% 16.1% -
Log Adjusted 84.1% 15.9% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams -12 (63-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Brooks * 40 5-13 0-1 6-8 7 6 2 0 3 16 15 -
C. Houstan * 36 5-11 3-8 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 13 8 -
H. Dickinson * 35 8-10 0-1 5-5 6 1 1 4 4 21 19 -
F. Collins * 31 6-7 1-2 1-1 6 2 1 0 1 14 15 -
M. Diabate * 27 2-4 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 0 2 7 12 -
B. Johns Jr. 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
T. Williams II 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Bufkin 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Roddy 38 5-11 1-6 2-4 6 4 1 0 2 13 11 -
K. Moore 29 3-7 2-5 2-2 2 3 3 0 2 10 9 -
D. Thomas 24 5-9 5-7 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 15 9 -
C. Jacobs 22 3-7 0-3 1-1 2 1 2 0 2 7 3 -
J. Tonje 21 1-9 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 -3 -
I. Rivera 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Thistlewood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Stevens * 29 3-11 2-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Lake 16 2-6 2-5 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 6 3 -
J. Moors 11 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 0 -

* = starter