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2021-12-14

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 51.7% 48.3% -
Bradley-Terry 42.7% 57.3% -
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.2 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 83.4% 16.6% -
Efficiency 77.5% 22.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% -
Log Adjusted 73.8% 26.2% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -7 (64-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Pepper * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 1 0 7 20 -
A. Adebayo * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 9 -
C. Anigwe * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 0 0 6 15 -
K. Milling 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 9 -
F. Borra 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
L. DeBruhl 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Davis * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 1 0 4 13 23 -
J. Lucas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 14 17 -
W. Alatishe * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 3 -
T. Williams * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 3 6 9 -
R. Silva * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 7 -
A. Rand 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 3 12 20 -
D. Akanno 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
C. McGill 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 -
X. Malone-Key 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 9 -
A. Murphy 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
G. Taylor Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Johnson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter