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2021-11-13

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 21.7% 78.3% -
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% -
Margin 18.0% 82.0% +8.3 (3.7 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.4% 91.6% -
Log Adjusted 8.2% 91.8% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +12 (86-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Carr 32 4-13 1-5 2-3 3 3 2 0 2 11 4 -
T. Allen 31 7-12 2-4 2-3 6 4 0 0 1 18 15 -
C. Ramey 29 2-8 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 6 1 -
J. Febres 27 3-6 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 8 -
B. Cunningham 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
A. Jones 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 2 5 6 -
D. Askew 15 4-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 9 6 -
T. Mitchell 14 1-5 1-1 3-4 1 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
C. Bishop 12 2-3 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
T. Licon 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Benson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Tyson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Nembhard 40 4-9 1-3 0-0 2 8 2 0 1 9 11 -
D. Timme 38 15-19 0-1 7-9 7 3 0 0 4 37 24 -
R. Bolton 32 6-11 4-6 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 16 10 -
J. Strawther 25 1-5 1-3 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 5 5 -
C. Holmgren 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 0 2 7 -
A. Watson 19 3-7 0-3 4-4 5 1 0 0 1 10 8 -
N. Hickman 19 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
H. Sallis 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter