Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots +1 (78-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Davison | 34 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| B. Stevenson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Pierce * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Koroma * | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Kennedy | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Colvin | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Sanders | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Jaakkola | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Nduka | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Svetozarevic | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Meadows * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| T. Robertson * | 38 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 8-8 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Austin * | 33 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| K. Sjolund * | 32 | 6-11 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| M. Wood * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Silveira | 11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| V. Vucinic | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter