Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -22 (65-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 9-16 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 8-11 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Peddy | 21 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| K. Nurse | 20 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Hartley | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| M. Walker | 7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 34 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | - |
| L. Allen | 30 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| V. Vivians | 28 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Breland | 26 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 10-11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| J. Lavender | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| E. Cannon | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. McCowan | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Wilson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter