Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -15 (69-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 34 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 6-10 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 26 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | - |
| K. Nurse | 32 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 5-11 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| S. Peddy | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Walker | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Sims | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| E. Williams | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 4-16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Billings | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Bradford | 28 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| A. McDonald | 19 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Hawkins | 17 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Dupree | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter