Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +11 (92-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Williams | 38 | 14-27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 15 | - |
| C. Bradford | 27 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Dupree | 26 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | - |
| E. Williams | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| O. Sims | 21 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. McDonald | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Billings | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| S. Stricklen | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Hawkins | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 25 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 32 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 27 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 5-5 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 11 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 23 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| K. Nurse | 20 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| S. Peddy | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Walker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter