Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -5.1 | ✓ (19.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -25 (56-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Miller * | 33 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| A. Dosunmu * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 28 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| D. Williams * | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Curbelo | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Grandison | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Hawkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Underwood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hamlin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| B. Bosmans-Verdonk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kopp | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Gaines | 26 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| P. Nance * | 25 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| R. Beran * | 24 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Audige * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Buie * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -7 | - |
| R. Greer | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Berry | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Young | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Nicholson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter