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2021-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 27.9% 72.1% -
Margin 22.4% 77.6% +6.8 (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% -
Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.5% 15.5% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -17 (53-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Livers * 39 7-14 3-5 5-6 10 3 0 2 1 22 22 -
E. Brooks * 32 5-8 1-3 0-0 5 0 2 2 0 11 12 -
M. Smith * 29 2-5 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 5 4 -
F. Wagner * 29 2-10 0-3 4-4 7 5 3 1 2 8 12 -
H. Dickinson * 23 3-7 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 6 8 -2 -
C. Brown 24 1-2 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 4 6 -
B. Johns Jr. 12 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
A. Davis 7 3-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
T. Williams II 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Hunter Jr. 34 4-12 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 8 0 -
J. Ivey 31 3-14 0-5 6-7 5 5 1 0 3 12 6 -
T. Williams 27 6-19 0-0 2-4 11 2 1 0 1 14 8 -
B. Newman 27 2-8 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 6 -2 -
A. Wheeler 17 1-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
I. Thompson 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Gillis * 23 1-1 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 1 3 3 9 -
E. Morton 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Z. Edey 14 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 3 1 4 13 -

* = starter