Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.4% | 10.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +14 (79-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Henry | 25 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| F. Loyer | 25 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Watts | 21 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| T. Kithier | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Langford | 16 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hoiberg | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Hauser * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| G. Brown | 25 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Hall | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Marble | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Hoggard | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Sissoko | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Beran * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| P. Nance * | 29 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| M. Kopp * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. Audige * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Buie * | 24 | 9-15 | 5-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 19 | - |
| T. Berry | 20 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| R. Greer | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Gaines | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Young | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter