Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -15 (70-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 36 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 15 | - |
| A. Thomas | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 28 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Charles | 25 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Jones | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| B. January | 17 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Mompremier | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Mosqueda-Lewis | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Carson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Holmes | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Thomas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 34 | 6-16 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 8 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 30 | 4-14 | 1-9 | 10-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | - |
| B. Turner | 29 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Coffey | 22 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Peddy | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Jenkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter