Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.2% | 81.8% | +8.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -6 (89-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gray | 35 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| A. Ogunbowale | 34 | 13-19 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 21 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 31 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 27 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| I. Harrison | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Harris | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Thornton | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Alarie | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 32 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | - |
| B. Griner | 30 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 26 | - |
| B. Turner | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 28 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| B. Hartley | 26 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| N. Coffey | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 11 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter