Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +16 (83-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Odom | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| K. Stokes | 31 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Nurse | 28 | 3-17 | 1-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | -1 | - |
| J. Willoughby | 24 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Holmes | 24 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Walker | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| P. Kea | 4 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Zahui B. | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 34 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | - |
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 31 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 30 | 11-19 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 29 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 24 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Smith | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Peddy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter