Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +24 (105-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Dupree | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Allemand | 29 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 28 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| T. McCowan | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| K. Smalls | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 20 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| K. Burke | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Doyle | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Cox | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Walker-Kimbrough | 38 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 33 | 9-20 | 2-7 | 8-9 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 19 | - |
| B. Turner | 33 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 27 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 8-14 | 8-13 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| S. Peddy | 23 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Smith | 23 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
* = starter