Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +17 (85-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Johnson | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Lewis | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Forrest | 26 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| A. Delph | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Lewis Jr. | 6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| O. Williams * | 39 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| H. Seacat * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Gregory | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Bibby | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Baker | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Greene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Muse | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J.C. Tharrington | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pearson * | 36 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 20 | - |
| I. Small * | 25 | 9-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 25 | - |
| S. Adams * | 24 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Davis * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Terry * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Sule | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Asberry | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Q. Scott | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| M. Harrell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Tennial | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bormann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Shaw | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter