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2020-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 40.0% 60.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% -
Margin 47.4% 52.6% +0.6 (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.1% 42.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.1% 28.9% -
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sasser * 38 1-12 0-7 0-0 5 6 0 0 0 2 1 -
F. White Jr. * 22 3-7 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
D. Jarreau * 22 2-6 0-1 1-1 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 -
N. Hinton * 21 4-6 3-4 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 11 11 -
C. Harris Jr. * 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Q. Grimes 35 9-22 4-9 2-2 6 3 2 0 2 24 11 -
C. Mills 31 6-15 2-4 6-6 6 1 0 0 4 20 8 -
B. Gresham 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
J. Gorham 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Alley Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Gilbert * 33 3-10 1-5 2-2 3 2 1 1 1 9 5 -
I. Whaley * 32 4-6 0-0 5-8 5 0 1 1 0 13 14 -
C. Vital * 32 8-14 2-6 8-8 2 1 2 0 4 26 13 -
J. Bouknight * 31 5-10 1-4 6-7 7 1 0 0 2 17 13 -
J. Carlton * 15 1-2 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Gaffney 27 3-3 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 2 6 4 -
B. Adams 26 0-3 0-2 2-4 6 2 0 0 1 2 6 -
S. Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter