Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +4 (75-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kopp * | 37 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| P. Spencer * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Beran * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| R. Young * | 29 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| P. Nance * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3 | - |
| A.J. Turner | 32 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Greer | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 36 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Cockburn * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| A. Dosunmu * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. Bezhanishvili * | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Williams * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Feliz | 24 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Griffin | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Nichols | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter