Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.7% | 34.3% | -3.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kithier | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| F. Loyer | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| C. George | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Winston * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| G. Brown * | 36 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| X. Tillman * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 17 | - |
| A. Henry * | 26 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. * | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Hall | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Nance * | 32 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| R. Young * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Gaines * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Kopp * | 24 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| P. Spencer * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Buie | 26 | 8-13 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 | - |
| A.J. Turner | 23 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Beran | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Jones | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter