Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.1% | 85.9% | +9.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +12 (77-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Baker * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Harper Jr. * | 29 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| M. Mathis * | 24 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| C. McConnell * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Johnson * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Yeboah | 25 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Young | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| P. Mulcahy | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Carter | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Doucoure | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Kithier | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| F. Loyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| X. Tillman * | 38 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 18 | - |
| C. Winston * | 36 | 8-17 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| A. Henry * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| G. Brown * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| M. Bingham Jr. * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hall | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Ahrens | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter