Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Fire | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -3 (85-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Fire
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton * | 31 | 3-15 | 0-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - | - | |
| Carla Leite * | 27 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Megan DiLeo * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Emily Engstler * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Nyadiew Puoch * | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frieda Buhner | 17 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Karlie Samuelson | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Holly Winterburn | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Serah Williams | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jordan Harrison | 12 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 33 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 32 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 5-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Noemie Brochant * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Natasha Mack | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lexi Held | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Valeriane Ayayi | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Marta Suarez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter