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2024-06-15

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Las Vegas Aces Spread Result
Elo 8.8% 91.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.9% 69.1% -
Margin 31.4% 68.6% +4.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% -
Log Adjusted 40.3% 59.7% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Las Vegas Aces -8 (82-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Breanna Stewart * 37 7-15 0-2 0-0 12 2 2 1 2 14 14 -
Betnijah Laney-Hamilton * 35 4-9 2-4 2-2 7 3 3 0 3 12 13 -
Sabrina Ionescu * 34 5-14 2-6 3-4 3 12 1 0 1 15 16 -
Jonquel Jones * 33 12-16 4-5 6-8 8 1 0 0 0 34 27 -
Kayla Thornton * 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Leonie Fiebich 23 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 8 6 -
Kennedy Burke 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Ivana Dojkić 7 1-4 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Marquesha Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A'ja Wilson * 35 9-16 0-1 3-4 9 3 0 1 2 21 16 -
Kelsey Plum * 31 8-13 2-5 4-5 2 3 0 0 3 22 11 -
Alysha Clark * 31 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 13 10 -
Jackie Young * 31 4-12 2-9 0-0 2 6 0 0 3 10 3 -
Kiah Stokes * 20 0-4 0-3 0-0 12 2 0 2 0 0 12 -
Tiffany Hayes 20 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 3 4 -
Sydney Colson 13 1-4 1-2 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -
Kate Martin 12 2-6 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 6 2 -
Emma Cannon 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Megan Gustafson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter