Youngstown St.
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1031 (#249) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1030 (#318) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 987 (#535) | HCA +56 elo |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.2 (#131) | HCA +3.0 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 1.000 (#38) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.995 (#23) | AdjNet +44.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.995 (#24) | AdjNet +44.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.971 (#11) | AdjO 101.2 | AdjD 62.4 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.749 (#66) | AdjO 85.3 | AdjD 73.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.799 (#103) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.777 (#105) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1073 (#255) | RD 308 | GP 1 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cris Carroll | - | 1 | 19.9 | 17.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 15.0 | -93 | -4.9 | -90.0 | 66.7 | 66.7 | 100.0 | -1.02 | 90.0 | 88.9 |
| Rich Rolf | - | 1 | 20.2 | 13.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 75.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 81.2 | 81.2 |
| Jaiden Haynes | - | 1 | 22.4 | 12.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 97 | 5.4 | 20.6 | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 1.22 | 110.3 | 120.0 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | - | 1 | 17.5 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 62.5 | 66.7 | 0.0 | - | 67.6 | 75.0 |
| Jason Nelson | - | 1 | 20.4 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | 12 | 0.6 | 4.0 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 100.0 | 0.57 | 72.7 | 66.7 |
| Bryson Dawkins | - | 1 | 18.0 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 57.1 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 64.3 | 64.3 |
| Imanuel Zorgvol | - | 1 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Rontavious Blackshear | - | 1 | 21.6 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 2.0 | - | - | - | 20.0 | 20.0 | 100.0 | - | 47.5 | 30.0 |
| Tyler Robinett | - | 1 | 12.4 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 9.0 | - | - | - | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Derrick Anderson | - | 1 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 45 | 2.1 | 11.4 | 66.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 5.42 | 66.7 | 66.7 |
| Shaheed Solebo | - | 1 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | - | 51.5 | 33.3 |
| Andrew King | - | 1 | 19.1 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 13.0 | -81 | -3.9 | -27.8 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.76 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG