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Yale

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Also known as: Yale
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1045 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1121 (#107) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +56 elo More → 1010 (#367) HCA +56 elo
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → +33.2 (#44) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 1.000 (#46) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +49.4 More → 0.997 (#12) AdjNet +49.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +49.3 More → 0.998 (#14) AdjNet +49.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 97.0 | AdjD 59.1 More → 0.969 (#14) AdjO 97.0 | AdjD 59.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 69.5 More → 0.824 (#17) AdjO 86.5 | AdjD 69.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.905 (#26) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.883 (#27) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 330 | GP 2 More → 1109 (#162) RD 330 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-12-02 vs SUNY Maritime W 117 - 53
2025-12-03 vs Brandeis W 79 - 61

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Isaac Celiscar - 2 23.5 14.5 4.5 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 7.5 14.0 - - - 73.3 50.0 75.0 - 78.3 76.7
Riley Fox - 2 18.9 13.0 4.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 9.5 - - - 50.0 38.5 100.0 - 63.6 62.5
Nick Townsend - 2 25.7 12.0 9.0 3.0 1.5 0.5 3.0 7.5 15.5 2 0.1 1.6 60.0 66.7 66.7 -0.76 68.0 66.7
Daniel Ogunyemi - 2 12.8 8.5 6.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 4.5 11.0 - - - 77.8 0 75.0 - 79.0 77.8
Casey Simmons - 2 18.8 8.5 1.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 5.5 5.5 - - - 63.6 50.0 40.0 - 64.4 68.2
Courtney Wallace Jr. - 2 17.9 8.5 2.5 2.5 3.5 1.0 1.5 5.5 11.0 57 4.4 17.9 63.6 33.3 100.0 2.97 74.3 72.7
Trevor Mullin - 2 19.3 8.0 2.0 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 7.0 7.5 - - - 50.0 33.3 0 - 57.1 57.1
Jordan Brathwaite - 2 15.4 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 4.5 5.5 - - - 55.6 50.0 0 - 77.8 77.8
Jack Sullivan - 2 16.1 6.5 4.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 6.0 6.5 -11 -0.6 -4.7 50.0 20.0 0 -2.64 54.2 54.2
Alvin Loving - 2 8.8 4.5 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 2.0 6.5 - - - 75.0 50.0 100.0 - 92.2 87.5
Devon Arlington - 2 15.4 3.5 3.5 4.5 1.0 0.5 2.0 4.0 7.0 - - - 25.0 40.0 50.0 - 39.4 37.5
Jeannot Basima - 2 7.8 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.5 - - - 50.0 100.0 100.0 - 71.7 62.5

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG