Yale
Model Outputs
2003-2004
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and includes an unverified participant universe. |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1333 (#132) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +25.7 (#151) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.217 (#101) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.051 (#111) | AdjNet -25.3 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.050 (#111) | AdjNet -25.6 |
2004 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2003-11-17 | @ | Connecticut | L | 60 - 70 |
| 2003-11-22 | N | Eastern Michigan | W | 75 - 60 |
| 2003-11-23 | N | Coastal Carolina | W | 70 - 65 |
| 2003-11-26 | @ | Bucknell | W | 63 - 62 |
| 2003-11-29 | N | Wake Forest | L | 61 - 86 |
| 2003-12-04 | vs | Sacred Heart | W | 73 - 59 |
| 2003-12-07 | vs | Fairfield | L | 57 - 71 |
| 2003-12-11 | @ | Saint Peter's | L | 78 - 80 |
| 2003-12-20 | vs | Niagara | L | 62 - 79 |
| 2003-12-30 | @ | South Carolina | L | 48 - 59 |
| 2004-01-03 | @ | American | L | 73 - 84 |
| 2004-01-07 | @ | Rhode Island | L | 59 - 73 |
| 2004-01-16 | vs | Brown | L | 75 - 85 |
| 2004-01-23 | @ | Brown | L | 65 - 77 |
| 2004-01-30 | vs | Pennsylvania | W | 54 - 52 |
| 2004-01-31 | vs | Princeton | L | 47 - 49 |
| 2004-02-06 | vs | Columbia | W | 63 - 58 |
| 2004-02-07 | vs | Cornell | W | 67 - 48 |
| 2004-02-13 | @ | Dartmouth | W | 78 - 40 |
| 2004-02-14 | @ | Harvard | L | 71 - 78 |
| 2004-02-20 | @ | Princeton | L | 58 - 70 |
| 2004-02-21 | @ | Pennsylvania | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2004-02-27 | vs | Harvard | W | 80 - 62 |
| 2004-02-28 | vs | Dartmouth | W | 58 - 54 |
| 2004-03-05 | @ | Cornell | W | 64 - 61 |
| 2004-03-06 | @ | Columbia | L | 79 - 88 |
2004 Roster
Minutes by Position
Not enough player minute data to plot.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edwin Draughan | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dominick Martin | C | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Alex Gamboa | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Paul Vitelli | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Matt Minoff | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Justin Simon | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Sam Kaplan | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Casey Hughes | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Scott Gaffield | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Mark Lovett | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dexter Upshaw | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Basil Williams | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Juan Wheat | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Jason Abromaitis | F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Josh Greenberg | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| John Shumate | G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG